![]() The Bengals haven't lost a regular-season game since last Halloween, and Joe Burrow and Co. You have to believe they can build on that a little in 2023.Ĭincinnati Bengals (O/U 11.5): Over with 13 projected wins The Ravens won 10 last year despite Lamar Jackson missing five. This is a very balanced division, so we're keeping expectations in check across the board in the North. That might be generous.īaltimore Ravens (O/U 9.5): Over with 11 projected wins With Rodgers but in a tough division, I'll bump that to eight. Why should we expect that to change as he approaches his 40th birthday? In terms of DVOA (defense-adjusted value over average) at Football Outsiders, the Jets were slightly better than their 7-10 record last year. Sorry, but I don't believe in Aaron Rodgers after his numbers absolutely plummeted in 2022. New York Jets (O/U 9.5): Under with 8 projected wins They went just 2-5 to finish the 2022 campaign, and I wouldn't be surprised if that trend continued into 2023. Still, it's hard to buy into a Mac Jones-quarterbacked team in this division, and the Patriots' offseason didn't inspire much confidence. ![]() New England Patriots (O/U 7.5): Under with 7 projected winsīill Belichick is Bill Belichick, and the defense should be very strong again. There's a lot of room for this to fluctuate based on whether Tua Tagovailoa holds up, but this offseason has been encouraging, so we'll give an extremely talented team the benefit of the doubt after a 9-8 2022 campaign. Miami Dolphins (O/U 9.5): Over with 10 projected wins Still, the schedule's tough in a strong division. The Bills' three losses came by a combined eight points. Buffalo Bills ( Over/Under 10.5 ): Over with 13 projected winsīuffalo won 13 games last year but outscored its opponents by a league-high 10.6 points per game.
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